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Economy-overview:
India’s economy encompasses
traditional village farming, modern agriculture, handicrafts, a wide range
of modern industries, and a multitude of support services. 67% of
India’s labor force, nearly 400 million work in agriculture. Agriculture
contributes 30% of the country’s GDP. Production, trade, and investment
reforms since 1991 have provided new opportunities for Indian
businesspersons and an estimated 300 million middle class consumers. New
Delhi has avoided debt rescheduling, attracted foreign investments, and
revived confidence in India’s economic prospects since 1991. Many of the
country’s fundamentals including savings rates (26% of GDP) and reserve
(now about $24 billion)-are healthy, Inflation eased to 7% in 1997, and
interest rates dropped to between 10% and 13%. Even so, the Indian
Government needs to restore the early momentum of reforms, especially by
continuing reductions in the extensive remaining government regulations.
Moreover, economy policy changes have not yet significantly increased jobs
or reduced the risk that international financial strain will bring within
the next few years. Nearly 40% of the Indian Population remains too poor
to afford a nutrient diet. India exports, and foreign institutional
investment were affected by the East Asian crisis in late 1997 and early
1998, but capital account controls, a low ratio of short-term debt to
reserves, and enhanced supervision of the financial sector helped insulate
it from near term balance-of-payments problems. Export growth, has been
slipping in 1996-97, averaging only about 4% to 5%-a large drop from the
more than 20% increases it was experiencing over the prior three years.
Energy, telecommunications, and transportation shortages and the legacy of
inefficient factories constrain industrial growth which expanded only 6.7%
in 1997-down from more than 11% in 1996. Growth of agricultural sector is
still fairly slow rebounding to only 5.7% in 1997 from a fall of 0.1% in
1996. Agricultural investment has slowed, while costly subsidies on
fertilizer, food distribution, and rural electricity remains.
Nevertheless, even if a series of weak coalition governments continue to
rule in New Delhi for the next few years and are able to push reforms
aggressively, parts of the economy that have already benefited from
deregulation will continue to grow.
GDP:
| Purchasing power parity |
: |
$1.534
trillion (1997 est.). |
| Real growth rate |
: |
5% (1997 est.). |
| Per capita Purchasing power parity |
: |
$1,600 (1997 est.) |
Composition by sector:
| Agriculture |
: |
30%, |
| Industry |
: |
28%, |
| Services |
: |
42% (1996 est.). |
Inflation rate-consumer price
index: 7% (1997 est.).
Labour force:
Total: 390 million 91997 est.).
By occupation: agriculture 67%,
services 18%, industry 15% (1995 est.).
Budget:
| Revenues |
: |
$39 billion. |
| Expenditure |
: |
$61 billion,
including capital expenditures of $10 billion 9FY97/98 est.). |
Industries:
Textiles, chemicals, food
processing, steel, transportation equipment, cement, mining petroleum
machinery.
Industrial production growth rate:
6.7% (1997 est.).
Electricity-capacity:
83.288 million kW (1996).
Electricity-production:
398.28 billion kWh (1995).
Electricity - consumption per
capita: 427 kWh (1995).
Agriculture - products:
Rice, wheat, oilseed, cotton,
jute, tea, sugarcane, potatoes, cattle, water buffalo, sheep, goats,
poultry; fish catch of about 3 million metric tons ranks India among the
world’s top 10 fishing nations.
Exports:
Total value: $33.9 billion
(f.o.b., 1997).
Commodities: gems and jewelry,
clothing, engineering goods, chemicals, leather manufactures, cotton yarn,
and fabric; Partners: US, Hong Kong, UK, Germany.
Imports:
Total value: $39.7 billion
(c.i.f., 1997).
Commodities: crude oil and
petroleum products, machinery, gems, fertilizer, chemicals, partners: US,
Belgium, Germany, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, UK, Japan.
Economic aid:
Recipient: ODA, $10237 billion
(1993); US ODA bilateral commitments $171 million; US Ex-Im bilateral
commitments $680 million; Western (non-US) countries, ODA bilateral
commitments $2.48 billion; OPEC bilateral aid $200 million; World Bank (IBRD)
multilateral commitments 42.8 billion; Asian Development Bank (ADB)
multilateral commitments $670 million; International Finance Corporation (IFC)
multilateral commitments $200 million; other multilateral commitments $554
million (1995-96).
Currency:
1 Indian rupee (Re) = 100
paise.
Exchange rates:
Indian rupees (Rs) per US$1-39.358
(January 1998), 36.313 (1997), 35.433 (1996), 32.427 (1995), 31.374
(1994), 30.493 (1993)
Fiscal year: 1 April-31
March
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